Economics

April 6, 2022

SHI 4.6.22 – Navigating Binary Choices

  Let’s get ready to RRRRRRRRUUUUUUUUMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMBLE!   The FED must backstop two very different opponents in the economic fight today.  Their choice is unfortunately binary – […]
March 30, 2022

SHI 3.30.22 – Q1 Ends with a Bang

Both literally and figuratively.  The first quarter of 2022 ends today … what a ride! You may recall that almost exactly one year ago today, the […]
March 23, 2022

SHI 3.23.22 – Is Recession Now Inevitable?

“We now see the risk that the U.S. enters a recession during the next year as … 20-35% … by models based on the slope of […]
March 16, 2022

SHI 3.16.22 – It Will be Tough from Here

… said the CNBC commentator earlier this morning, when discussing Russia’s future, assuming they fail to pay $117 million of interest due today on ‘dollar-bonds.’  If […]